Iranian strikes targeting shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz have driven Brent crude prices higher, pushing the benchmark from $72 to $76 per barrel, according to FX Street. This escalation also contributed to a rise in US Treasury 2-year yields, reflecting increased market volatility.

Philip Wee of DBS Group Research highlighted that despite these developments, market participants do not anticipate a return to full-scale war in the region. The cautious optimism suggests that while tensions have spiked, broader geopolitical stability remains intact for now.

For Japanese investors, these movements underscore the sensitivity of energy and bond markets to Middle East geopolitical risks, which can influence Japan’s import costs and impact risk sentiment across FX and equities.