A recent interim peace agreement between the US and Iran has improved crude oil supply and enabled safer shipping through the strategic Strait of Hormuz, according to FX Street. This development is expected to ease some supply constraints in the global oil market.

Meanwhile, seven OPEC+ members have announced plans to increase their oil production again in August, further adding to global crude availability. FX Street reports that this coordinated output rise has raised fears of a potential global crude glut, which could pressure oil prices downward.

For Japanese markets, these shifts in oil supply dynamics are particularly relevant as Japan relies heavily on Middle Eastern oil imports, and any changes in crude availability and prices can impact energy costs and broader market sentiment.