TD Securities strategists project that the United States will experience largely sideways GDP growth throughout 2026. According to FX Street, the forecast indicates a quarter-on-quarter annualized growth rate of 2.5%, while full-year GDP growth is expected to come in slightly below trend at 2.1% on a Q4-to-Q4 basis.
This outlook suggests a moderate pace of economic expansion, reflecting steady but unspectacular performance in the US economy over the coming year. The prediction indicates that while growth will continue, it may not accelerate significantly beyond current levels.
For Japanese investors and markets, these projections are relevant as stable US growth could influence risk sentiment and cross-border capital flows, particularly in FX and equities, where the US economy often serves as a key benchmark.